Supercomputer predicts World Cup 2022 Winner with England heartbreak
A World Cup supercomputer has predicted that Brazil, led by Neymar, will win the tournament in Qatar, with England falling at the quarterfinal stage once again.
The Three Lions were famously eliminated in the quarterfinals of the 2002 and 2006 tournaments by Brazil and Portugal, respectively. This time, a prediction has been made due to a potential matchup against either Argentina or France.
According to the algorithm published by the University of Innsbruck, Argentina will reach the final before being defeated by their South American rivals. European rivals Germany and Argentina are expected to be eliminated in the semifinals, resulting in the same final four as the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil.
The model, which uses an AI (artificial intelligence) technique known as ‘random forests’ to simulate Qatar 2022 100,000 times, gives England only a 7% chance of winning. This method accurately predicted that Germany and Spain would meet in the final of the 2008 European Championship, as well as La Roja’s victories in the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012.
Brazil, with a 15% chance of victory, has been given a better chance than England, followed by Argentina (11%), the Netherlands (10%), Germany (9%) and France (nine per cent).
Austrian professor Achim Zeileis of the University of Innsbruck stated: “This time, the World Cup is overshadowed by many ethical and sportive problems we cannot ignore.
“Nevertheless, for scientific reasons, we have decided to use our machine learning approach, which we have used successfully at previous tournaments, to make probabilistic forecasts.”
“In addition to the widely discussed ethical problems of this World Cup, this also raises very critical sportive questions.
“In the winter months, all the major football leagues in Europe and South America have to interrupt their usual match schedule to accommodate the tournament. This gives the national teams less time to prepare and the players less time to recover before and after the World Cup. Combined with the extreme climatic conditions, this also increases the risk of injuries.”
he added. “All these factors make it more difficult to predict how the tournament will turn out, as variables that proved to be very meaningful at previous World Cups may not work well or work differently.”
Supercomputer predicts World Cup 2022 Winner with England heartbreak
