Supercomputer predicts final Premier League table after Arsenal and Man City pick up wins
On Saturday, the race for the Premier League title appeared to have the potential for a surprising outcome. However, both Arsenal, who are in first place, and Manchester City, who are the defending champions, managed to navigate through the day’s matches without any damage to their positions.
Although Liverpool initially caused Manchester City some trouble, the team ultimately triumphed with a 4-1 victory, while Arsenal defeated Leeds by the same scoreline.
The race for the title is expected to be much more thrilling than in previous years, but the question remains: will Mikel Arteta or Pep Guardiola be the one lifting the Premier League trophy in May?
Final predicted 2022/23 Premier League table
FiveThirtyEight employs its Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) to anticipate the results of leagues across the globe, and they update it after every match.
Arsenal fans can take heart in the fact that, following their victory over Leeds, the statistics are on their side. Although Gunners supporters may have to endure some nerve-wracking moments, the projected final points tally for their team is 88, which is good news.
This would be sufficient to win the Premier League championship for the first time since 2003/04, as Manchester City is expected to earn only 87 points, despite having a better goal difference of 61 in comparison to Arsenal’s 49.
Manchester United, Newcastle, and Tottenham, who are vying for a spot in the Champions League, have yet to play their matches this weekend.
However, it is anticipated that the first two teams will secure the third and fourth positions, respectively, which will enable them to participate in Europe’s premier club tournament next season.
Liverpool’s loss to Manchester City did not assist their cause in their pursuit of a Champions League spot, but they are predicted to finish only three points behind Newcastle in fourth place.
| Position | Team | Goal difference | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Arsenal | 49 | 88 |
| 2. | Manchester City | 61 | 87 |
| 3. | Manchester United | 13 | 71 |
| 4. | Newcastle | 24 | 66 |
| 5. | Tottenham | 14 | 64 |
| 6. | Liverpool | 24 | 63 |
| 7. | Brighton | 20 | 62 |
| 8. | Brentford | 7 | 56 |
| 9. | Chelsea | 2 | 54 |
| 10. | Aston Villa | -5 | 52 |
| 11. | Fulham | -5 | 50 |
| 12. | Crystal Palace | -14 | 43 |
| 13. | West Ham | -13 | 39 |
| 14. | Leeds | -15 | 38 |
| 15. | Leicester | -12 | 38 |
| 16. | Wolves | -24 | 37 |
| 17. | Bournemouth | -34 | 37 |
| 18. | Everton | -24 | 36 |
| 19. | Nottingham Forest | -37 | 34 |
| 20. | Southampton | -30 | 33 |
Crystal Palace’s late triumph over Leicester has been hugely beneficial to their position near the bottom of the table. The data suggests that things are looking up for the returning manager Roy Hodgson, with a predicted 12th place finish.
Leeds, Leicester, and Wolves are also expected to finish comfortably above the relegation zone. However, the first team to be relegated from the Premier League could be a seasoned participant in the league.
Everton’s situation is precarious, both on and off the field, and Sean Dyche is not supported by the analytics to revive their fortunes. As a result, the Toffees are predicted to drop into the Championship, marking the end of their uninterrupted top-flight status since the 1954/55 season.
Nottingham Forest’s dismal performance on the road may prove to be their undoing. Although Steve Cooper’s team has shown a lot of grit at the City Ground, they have not been able to maximize their points haul, and their turbulent return to the Premier League may end after only one season.
Meanwhile, Southampton is widely regarded as the least likely team to avoid relegation, languishing in 20th place.
Although the Saints have been a regular presence in the top flight since 2012/13 and have had some entertaining sides under managers such as Mauricio Pochettino and Ronald Koeman, they are not as entertaining or efficient as they once were, and their chances of being relegated are now more probable than possible.
Supercomputer predicts final Premier League table after Arsenal and Man City pick up wins
